Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 261.296158 295.668664 334.128989 380.591981 435.519623 498.777153 577.706634
2024-10-27 200.145660 241.988890 292.981724 360.556437 449.060067 562.906388 723.574297
2024-11-03 180.162852 227.891698 289.601056 376.976183 500.441631 673.388801 942.944481
2024-11-10 167.384892 219.651143 290.599942 396.835024 557.178509 799.599746 1214.037717
2024-11-17 151.711344 204.775354 279.578811 396.652166 583.038972 883.306444 1439.167212
2024-11-24 136.258924 188.079648 263.371256 385.525588 588.793682 934.361734 1620.123812
2024-12-01 123.782203 174.219059 249.466933 375.517255 593.814484 983.795505 1810.295859
2024-12-08 117.986694 169.616635 248.910295 386.534770 635.854622 1107.406686 2187.691315
2024-12-15 110.999396 162.422259 243.348327 388.119856 660.822358 1203.290467 2537.327816
2024-12-22 103.139097 153.115368 233.354100 380.541618 667.037821 1262.085357 2819.412566
2024-12-29 97.677216 147.173958 228.301520 381.064614 688.897778 1358.624603 3235.922142
2025-01-05 91.336382 139.274065 219.170802 372.866553 691.580632 1412.546173 3556.556261
2025-01-12 86.597615 133.847089 214.108915 372.342877 711.571998 1515.085579 4081.908666
2025-01-19 79.587760 124.098367 200.651335 354.027918 690.194505 1511.541997 4268.207977
2025-01-26 78.166764 123.835957 204.171981 369.960767 748.551141 1729.324549 5352.341113
2025-02-02 77.238522 124.334475 209.087817 389.361355 818.944352 2003.221076 6866.663837
2025-02-09 73.906984 120.279073 205.047284 389.181918 841.338126 2144.847801 7937.436408
2025-02-16 69.598430 114.165106 196.563511 378.318390 834.621645 2194.850798 8617.471664
2025-02-23 65.761966 108.688917 188.924107 368.544918 829.298301 2248.777310 9373.452193
2025-03-02 64.440102 107.793676 190.250616 379.303794 881.569185 2515.755381 11622.016688
2025-03-09 62.244964 105.106584 187.751337 380.851511 908.502498 2703.556400 13632.803145
2025-03-16 59.327100 100.868582 181.772717 373.451574 908.263848 2789.792891 15060.621982
2025-03-23 57.358873 98.347068 179.163320 373.962294 931.855821 2980.001363 17593.691650